Machine Learning of Serum Metabolic Patterns Encodes Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

Asymptomatic COVID-19 has become one of the biggest challenges for controlling the spread of the SARS-CoV-2. Diagnosis of asymptomatic COVID-19 mainly depends on quantitative reverse transcription PCR (qRT-PCR), which is typically time-consuming and requires expensive reagents. The application is limited in countries that lack sufficient resources to handle large-scale assay during the COVID-19 outbreak. Here, we demonstrated a new approach to detect the asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection using serum metabolic patterns combined with ensemble learning. The direct patterns of metabolites and lipids were extracted by matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry (MALDI-MS) within 1 s with simple sample preparation. A new ensemble learning model was developed using stacking strategy with a new voting algorithm. This approach was validated in a large cohort of 274 samples (92 asymptomatic COVID-19 and 182 healthy control), and provided the high accuracy of 93.4%, with only 5% false negative and 7% false positive rates. We also identified a biomarker panel of ten metabolites and lipids, as well as the altered metabolic pathways during asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infection. The proposed rapid and low-cost approach holds promise to apply in the large-scale asymptomatic COVID-19 screening.

Distinct lipid metabolic dysregulation in asymptomatic COVID-19.

Asymptomatic infection is a big challenge in curbing the spread of COVID-19. However, its identification and pathogenesis elucidation remain issues. Here, by performing comprehensive lipidomic characterization of serum samples from 89 asymptomatic COVID-19 patients and 178 healthy controls, we screened out a panel of 15 key lipids that could accurately identify asymptomatic patients using a new ensemble learning model based on stacking strategy with a voting algorithm. This strategy provided a high accuracy of 96.0% with only 3.6% false positive rate and 4.8% false negative rate. More importantly, the unique lipid metabolic dysregulation was revealed, especially the enhanced synthesis of membrane phospholipids, altered sphingolipids homeostasis, and differential fatty acids metabolic pattern, implicating the specific host immune, inflammatory, and antiviral responses in asymptomatic COVID-19. This study provides a potential prediagnostic method for asymptomatic COVID-19 and molecular clues for the pathogenesis and therapy of this disease.